Abstract:
The purpose of this study was to project primary school enrolment in the year 2015
and the number of teachers who would be required to teach the forecasted pupils base
year being 2010. The study was based in Konoin district, Bomet County.
The study was based on the manpower requirement approach by Thompson [1981]
which is an attempt by policy makers and economists to ensure that labour of right
volume, quality and type meets social and economic objectives of education. The
study utilized descriptive case study design and the advantages was that data collected
showed the then the status of population with respect to one or more variables at a
given time and sought information that is quantifiable and report the way things are.
Purposive sampling techniques was employed in choosing the sample size for the
study. The sample for the study was the education officers in charge of statistics and
the Teachers Service Commission unit representatives at the District Educational
Offices. Staff in the record section at the Central Bureau of statistics also participate
in the study as they maintained relevant data. Data for the study was collected by use
of questionnaires, interviews scheduled and document analysis. Questionnaires were
designed to address specific objectives, uphold confidentiality and was easy to
analyse. Each was given to officer in charge of statistics and the Teachers Services
Commission unit in the Districts. Document analysis guide was given to officers in
charge of population statistics in District Central Bureau of statistics so as to obtain
data on children population born in the year 2002-2009. Interview was used to obtain
information on teacher and pupils from District Educational Offices. The study
analyzed collected data both qualitatively and quantitatively. The descriptive statistics
used were frequency distribution table and percentage where as inferential statistics
used simple regression technique in which only two variable i.e independent variable
[enrolment] and one dependent variable [staffing].
The finding indicated that the projected number of pupils in primary schools in the
year 2015 in Konoin District would 35,585 and required staff would be 1424.This was
calculated using international pupil-teacher ratio of 25:1.
The District would run short of 517 teaching staff and it was recommended that
Teachers Service Commission should provide a solution to meet teachers demand in
the District to anticipate the high enrolment of pupils as results of Free Primary
Education to all school aged children and should enact laws that guarantee all citizen
right to quality education so as to meet EFA, UPE, MDG goals and Kenya Vision
2030 as FPE programmes is greatly dependent on effective teachers management.